Using the Normal Distribution
Key Terms
- Inverse normal
- Given a probability p, find the value x such that P(X < x) = p
- CAS: invNorm(p, μ, σ) gives the value x with P(X < x) = p
- To find μ with known σ: use Z = (x − μ)/σ and the known Z-score
- To find σ with known μ: rearrange Z = (x − μ)/σ for σ
- To find both μ and σ: set up two equations from two known probabilities and solve simultaneously
If P(X < x) = p, then x = invNorm(p, μ, σ)
Finding unknowns:
Given P(X < x1) = p1: Z1 = invNorm(p1, 0, 1)
Then: x1 = μ + Z1σ
With two equations:
x1 = μ + Z1σ and x2 = μ + Z2σ
a = invNorm(0.9, 60, 5) ≈ 66.41
Or using Z-scores: P(Z < z) = 0.9 ⇒ z ≈ 1.282
a = μ + zσ = 60 + 1.282 × 5 ≈ 66.41
From P(X<50) = 0.2: Z1 = invNorm(0.2, 0, 1) ≈ −0.8416
From P(X<70) = 0.9: Z2 = invNorm(0.9, 0, 1) ≈ 1.2816
Equations: 50 = μ − 0.8416σ … (i)
70 = μ + 1.2816σ … (ii)
(ii) − (i): 20 = 2.1232σ ⇒ σ ≈ 9.42
μ = 50 + 0.8416 × 9.42 ≈ 57.93
Inverse Normal Problems
So far we have found probabilities given values of x. The inverse problem asks: given a probability, what is the value of x? This is called an inverse normal calculation.
Example: Exam scores are distributed as X ~ N(65, 100). The top 10% of students receive an A. What is the minimum score to get an A?
We want x such that P(X > x) = 0.10, i.e., P(X < x) = 0.90.
x = invNorm(0.90, 65, 10) ≈ 77.8. So students need at least 78 marks for an A.
Percentiles and quantiles: The p-th percentile is the value below which p% of the data falls.
- Median = 50th percentile = μ (for any normal distribution)
- Lower quartile Q1 = 25th percentile = invNorm(0.25, μ, σ)
- Upper quartile Q3 = 75th percentile = invNorm(0.75, μ, σ)
Finding μ When σ Is Known
If you know σ and are given a probability condition, use the Z-score to find μ:
- Find the Z-score corresponding to the given probability.
- Write the equation: x = μ + zσ
- Solve for μ
Example: X ~ N(μ, 16). P(X < 30) = 0.75. Find μ.
Z = invNorm(0.75, 0, 1) ≈ 0.6745
30 = μ + 0.6745 × 4
30 = μ + 2.698
μ ≈ 27.30
Finding σ When μ Is Known
If you know μ and are given a probability condition, use the Z-score to find σ:
- Find the Z-score corresponding to the given probability.
- Write the equation: x = μ + zσ
- Solve for σ
Example: X ~ N(100, σ²). P(X < 120) = 0.9. Find σ.
Z = invNorm(0.9, 0, 1) ≈ 1.2816
120 = 100 + 1.2816σ
20 = 1.2816σ
σ ≈ 15.61
Finding Both μ and σ
With two probability conditions, you can find both μ and σ simultaneously. This requires solving two linear equations.
- Convert each probability condition to a Z-score.
- Write two equations: x1 = μ + z1σ and x2 = μ + z2σ
- Subtract to eliminate μ and solve for σ
- Back-substitute to find μ
Applications of the Normal Distribution
The normal distribution models many real-world phenomena: heights, weights, test scores, measurement errors, manufacturing tolerances, and financial returns. Key application types include:
- Quality control: Finding what proportion of items meet a specification
- Percentile problems: Finding cut-off scores or values
- Working backwards: Finding parameters from observed probabilities
Mastery Practice
- X ~ N(40, 9). Find: (a) the value a such that P(X < a) = 0.95 (b) the value b such that P(X > b) = 0.2
- X ~ N(50, 16). Find the values of the lower quartile (Q1) and upper quartile (Q3).
- X ~ N(μ, 25). Given that P(X < 45) = 0.8413, find μ.
- X ~ N(70, σ²). Given that P(X < 80) = 0.9772, find σ.
- The mass of packets of cereal is normally distributed. The 10th percentile is 490 g and the 90th percentile is 510 g. Find the mean and standard deviation.
- X is normally distributed with P(X < 25) = 0.3 and P(X < 40) = 0.85. Find μ and σ, giving your answers to 2 decimal places.
- A machine produces bolts whose diameter X ~ N(10, 0.04) mm. Bolts are acceptable if their diameter is between 9.5 mm and 10.5 mm. What percentage of bolts are acceptable?
- IQ scores are modelled by X ~ N(100, 225). Mensa membership requires an IQ in the top 2% of the population. Find the minimum IQ score required for Mensa membership.
- A factory makes two types of components. Type A has lengths normally distributed with mean 50 mm and standard deviation 2 mm. Type B has lengths normally distributed with mean 80 mm and standard deviation 3 mm. Components are assembled end-to-end (total length = A + B).
- (a) Find the probability that a Type A component is shorter than 48 mm.
- (b) Find the minimum length exceeded by 95% of Type B components.
- (c) If the specification requires Type A components between 47 mm and 53 mm, and Type B components between 75 mm and 85 mm, what percentage of each type meets the specification?
- The heights of students at a school are normally distributed. 20% of students are shorter than 160 cm and 15% are taller than 180 cm.
- (a) Set up two equations in μ and σ using Z-scores.
- (b) Solve to find μ and σ (to 2 decimal places).
- (c) Find the probability that a randomly chosen student is between 165 cm and 175 cm tall.